Q2 2026 · Market data report
State of Cabo
Luxury Real Estate
Quarterly market data report on Cabo San Lucas, San José del Cabo, the Tourist Corridor, and the East Cape. Built on a daily scrape of Sotheby's, Snell, Engel & Völkers, and Oceanside listings, cross-referenced with our own booking data across 91 villas and 14 yachts.
Status
Data is accumulating
Our daily scrape across Sotheby's, Snell, Engel & Völkers, and Oceanside started populating re_market_data recently. We'll publish the first full numbers report at the end of Q2 (June 30, 2026). Below is the methodology + community profile the numbers will plug into — drop your email at the bottom and we'll email you the live report when it lands.
Methodology
How we built this report
Data sources. Daily web-scrape of public listing pages on Sotheby's International Realty, Snell Real Estate, Engel & Völkers Los Cabos, and Oceanside Real Estate. Each scrape captures price, bedrooms, bathrooms, interior sqft, lot sqft, days-on-market, and community.
Normalization. Community names are normalized to a controlled vocabulary of 16 communities (Pedregal, Pedregal Bay, Pedregal Pacific, Palmilla, Cabo del Sol, Puerto Los Cabos, Santa Carmela, Cabo Bello, San José del Cabo, Bahia de los Sueños, Costa Palmas, Cabo Pacifica, Quivira, Querencia, Diamante, Tezal).
Comparable data. Cross-referenced with AMPI quarterly reports, SAT (Mexico Tax Authority) published transfer-tax data, and Banxico USD/MXN reference rates.
Caveats. Ask prices, not closed prices. Off-market and pocket-listed properties (a meaningful share at the trophy end) are not captured. Reported days-on-market resets when listings are relisted with a price change.
By community
The numbers, by neighborhood
Six community profiles. Median ask price, median $/sqft, median days on market. Built for buyers comparing across communities and journalists writing about the broader market.
| Community | Tier | Listings | Median ask | $/sqft | Days on market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pedregal Cabo San Lucas cliffside, walking distance to marina. The original luxury enclave. | Established · Trophy | — | — | — | — |
Palmilla Corridor luxury with One&Only and Auberge anchors. Swimmable beach. Long-time second-home market. | Established · Family | — | — | — | — |
Cabo del Sol Park Hyatt + Cove Club, two golf courses, gated, swimmable beach access. | Established · Resort-front | — | — | — | — |
Puerto Los Cabos San José del Cabo marina + Greg Norman golf, slower pace, arts district nearby. | Growth · Cultural | — | — | — | — |
East Cape (Costa Palmas + Bahia de los Sueños) Four Seasons + Aman (Amanvari, opening Aug 2026), Park Hyatt coming, undeveloped Sea of Cortez beachfront. | High-growth · Next frontier | — | — | — | — |
Cabo Pacifica Pacific-side oceanfront, north of Pedregal. Quetzal, Maravilla, Diamante. Tom Brady, Glen Powell, Stephen Curry. | High-growth · Brand-name buyers | — | — | — | — |
Numbers populate automatically once the daily scrape accumulates 50+ listings per community (typically 30 days from cold start).
What we're watching
Five trends shaping Cabo luxury real estate right now
East Cape is the next frontier
Costa Palmas (Four Seasons + Aman) and Bahia de los Sueños are reshaping the East Cape pricing curve. Branded residences at Costa Palmas are trading at numbers that reset the comp set for the entire region. Amanvari opens Aug 1, 2026.
Pedregal trophy market is supply-constrained
Cliffside Pacific-facing lots in Pedregal Pacific aren't being replaced. New construction sites are essentially gone. Premium asks for top-tier homes routinely clear $10–25M.
Cabo Pacifica is the brand-name buyer market
Quetzal, Maravilla, Diamante drew Tom Brady, Glen Powell, Stephen Curry as buyers. Pacific-facing oceanfront at 30–50% discount vs. Pedregal Pacific. The 90-min drive south to PDC is the friction; new road improvements are easing it.
Palmilla family-buyer pricing is stable
Long-time second-home market. Family-friendly swimmable beach access (rare in Cabo) keeps demand consistent. The One&Only halo + Auberge residences anchor pricing.
Days-on-market widening at the entry tier
Sub-$2M condo + townhouse inventory is sitting longer in 2026 than 2024-25, particularly at Quivira and Diamante. The trophy end ($10M+) is faster because supply is thin.
STR yields holding up despite room-night supply growth
New resort inventory (Park Hyatt, Soho House, future Aman) hasn't materially dented villa STR yields. Cabo guests increasingly prefer villas at 8+ pax over resort suites.
Get the full PDF
Email me when the Q2 numbers drop
We're publishing the first full numbers report at the end of Q2. Drop your email and we'll send a designed PDF + a 1-page executive summary.
Send me the Q2 report
Quarterly. Free for journalists, advisors, and serious buyers.
For press
Press & data licensing
Citation. Free for editorial use. Credit “@Cabo State of Cabo Real Estate, Q2 2026” and link back to cabo.la/cabo-real-estate-report-2026-q2.
Interview requests. Jeff Spiegel (founder) is available to comment on Cabo real estate trends. press@cabo.la.
Raw data & licensing. We license the underlying daily scrape (CSV, ~200 fields/listing) to industry analysts, brokers, and family offices. data@cabo.la.
Press kit. Logos + photography at cabo.la/press.